WELCOME

 

SAURO WEIGHS IN ON ECONOMIC STIMULUS

Sauro Economic Recovery Plan 

Every one has an opinion about an economic recovery plan, some are to deep inside, that their view of what causes the economy to have boom and bust times is obscured by many things, greed among them.  Other’s are so micro analytical that they loose site the big picture.  Most of us are of the “Common Sense Business” variety of people.  And it is from that point of view that I approach my opinion and plan.  

To say there are problems with the way the world has been doing business is a gross understatement. However, it’s interesting to see how well and for how long things can go if left unquestioned.  Real Estate and the credit markets were moving along swimmingly for the last decade.  In 2005, I was asked repeatedly in interviews “When wills the Real Estate Bubble Burst”.  Then starting in February 2007 the question was about sub prime mortgages.  Our global media driven culture is instrumental in helping to grow self fulfilling prophecies.  The credit crisis started as a question.  What is the real value of the sub prime assets?  And because of the Mark to Market Rule this question took on new meaning for those who could profit from doubt. 

In August of 07, that doubt spread globally overnight.  The question of value gave buyers of these assets an opportunity to buy them at a big discount.  Many of these markets were interconnected to each other, such as the Derivative’s market.  Hence, everything came into question and a fear began to build.  Fear, A very powerful emotion.  Fear has a paralyzing effect on people and in turn on the markets.

We are a 24/7 information culture.  Our news flow in constant, And we tend to believe everything we here and see in the media.  What’s interesting is almost everyone I speak to says the same thing.  They can’t believe that we’re doing this to ourselves.  Even more frustrating, they can’t believe the government has not taken the right steps for a recovery.  No surprise there.

Sometimes, the solution to a problem can be right in front of your face.  It was government involvement back in the late 90’s that that set the stage for this problem when they asked Wall Street and lenders to develop loans that could increase homeownership.

So why do some think that government can  fix the problem now. 

 

  • Reversing the direction of the Real Estate Market

No one denies that the economy will go the way of the real estate market. To date, nothing has been done to stop falling real estate prices.

The United States has the most valuable real estate in the world.

So why isn’t our Government standing behind it.  Read More 

 

  • Regaining Confidence and Liquidity in the Global Credit markets

The Mark to Market Rule. 

Instruct Rating agencies to re evaluate assets. 

The SEC Mark to Market Rule and the poor asset valuations by ratings agencies are responsible for the credit crunch.  Read More 

  • Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac 

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are the agencies responsible for buying mortgages from the nation’s lenders. Bailed out from the government and getting an additional $500B in bond purchases by the government.  These quasi government agencies are only helping some of the markets.  Read More

  • Tax Breaks for Small businesses 

Small businesses account for approximately 70% of the work force.  Read More

  

home   l   contact   l   about   l   news

© 2009 SERP 2009 All Rights Reserved